Saturday, September 17, 2011

Emmy Nominations and Predictions

The new TV season is already underway and we're just now getting to the Emmy Awards, which airs tomorrow night. The nominations themselves were announced a couple of months ago so it has been quite a long wait for this. Last week was the Creative Arts Emmy ceremony and you might be able to suss out the general feeling of the voters by some of the wins. It's probably still a crap-shoot overall, so here's my input...


BEST DRAMA SERIES

Boardwalk Empire
Dexter
Game of Thrones
The Good Wife
Mad Men
Friday Night Lights

Is anyone really predicting any other show than Boardwalk Empire to walk away with the win this year? After nearly sweeping in the technical categories last week, it should definitely be seen as the favorite over 4-time winner Mad Men. Funnily enough, it's the only show out of the six that I haven't watched. Of course.

Prediction: Boardwalk Empire
Alternate: Mad Men
Should Win: The Good Wife

BEST ACTOR, DRAMA
Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire
Kyle Chandler, Friday Night Lights
Michael C. Hall, Dexter
Jon Hamm, Mad Men
Hugh Laurie, House
Timothy Olyphant, Justified

With 3-time winner Bryan Cranston out of the running this year, it's the perfect time for a few veterans to swoop in and get their long-deserved win. By this, of course, I mean Jon Hamm, Hugh Laurie, and Michael C. Hall. Unfortunately for them, new kid on-the-block Steve Buscemi is the supposed frontrunner.

Prediction: Steve Buscemi
Alternate: Jon Hamm
Should Win: Michael C. Hall

BEST ACTRESS, DRAMA
Kathy Bates, Harry's Law
Connie Britton, Friday Night Lights
Mireille Enos, The Killing
Mariska Hargitay, Law & Order: SVU
Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men

Last year, I was 100% sure that Julianna Margulies would win until she didn't. With last year's winner Kyra Sedgwick inexplicably left out this year, Margulies' biggest competition may be Elisabeth Moss. Both submitted great episodes so it'll really be who they like better. Then again if one were to really ask that, they'd probably go for Kathy Bates.

Prediction: Julianna Margulies
Alternate: Elisabeth Moss
Should Win: Margulies or Moss

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR, DRAMA
Andre Braugher, Men of a Certain Age
Josh Charles, The Good Wife
Alan Cumming, The Good Wife
Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
Walter Goggins, Justified
John Slattery, Mad Men

I think other than Andre Braugher and Walter Goggins, the rest can conceivably win this. I'm not just saying this because it's the four performances I've seen, but that's where the buzz is at the moment. In my head though, I think the two top contenders are Alan Cumming and Peter Dinklage, but I refuse to believe that the TV Academy is actually that cool.

Prediction: John Slattery
Alternate: Alan Cumming
Should Win: Cumming or Peter Dinklage

BEST SUPPORTING DRAMA, ACTRESS
Christine Baranski, The Good Wife
Michelle Forbes, The Killing
Christina Hendricks, Mad Men
Kelly MacDonald, Boardwalk Empire
Margo Martindale, Justified
Archie Panjabi, The Good Wife

Archie Panjabi's win last year was a complete surprise for me and for everyone I knew. This year, I think another "shock" win will happen, this time for Margo Martindale. Though it won't be a complete shock since critics can't stop talking about her. Her biggest competition will be from Panjabi or Kelly MacDonald (if her show sweeps, watch out).

Prediction: Margo Martindale
Alternate: Archie Panjabi
Should Win: Panjabi or Michelle Forbes


BEST COMEDY SERIES

30 Rock
The Big Bang Theory
Glee
Modern Family
The Office
Parks and Recreation

As much as I like most of these shows, I really do think only ONE show here DESERVES the win THIS season and that is the brilliant Parks and Recreation. Of course, it's probably too "small" for the Academy and thus it'll probably go to last year's winner Modern Family. Glee was more of a threat last year, but I think its rose has lost its bloom a bit this year.

Prediction: Modern Family
Alternate: Parks and Recreation
Should Win: Parks and Recreation

BEST ACTOR, COMEDY
Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
Louis C.K., Louie
Steve Carell, The Office
Johnny Galecki, The Big Bang Theory
Matt LeBlanc, Episodes
Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory

I was tickled when I predicted Jim Parsons' win last year, but I hope that the Academy will finally give Steve Carell the win for his iconic Michael Scott considering this is their last chance to do so. Other than Galecki, everyone else has a shot to upset him, but for the love of God, just give it to him already. That's what she said?

Prediction: Steve Carell
Alternate: Alec Baldwin
Should Win: Steve Carell

BEST ACTRESS, COMEDY
Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
Tina Fey, 30 Rock
Laura Linney, The Big C
Melissa McCarthy, Mike & Molly
Martha Plimpton, Raising Hope
Amy Poehler, Parks & Recreation

Showtime ladies will make it three in a row when Laura Linney wins this year after Edie Falco won last year and Toni Collette won the year before. It's a formula that works. Though if I had a ballot, it'd go to Amy Poehler who actually stars in a legit situational comedy and is actually damn fantastic in it.

Prediction: Laura Linney
Alternate: Amy Poehler
Should Win: Amy Poehler

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR, COMEDY
Ty Burrell, Modern Family
Chris Colfer, Glee
Jon Cryer, Two & A Half Men
Jesse Tyler Ferguson, Modern Family
Ed O'Neill, Modern Family
Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family

I'm still smarting over the unnecessary snub for Neil Patrick Harris who should've won this category a couple of years ago. With that said, there's a good chance a Modern Family man will win just by the sheer number of them. If I had to pick from the lot, it'd be Ty Burrell. For a spoiler, look to Golden Globe-winning Chris Colfer.

Prediction: Ty Burrell
Alternate: Chris Colfer
Should Win: Ty Burrell

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS, COMEDY
Julie Bowen, Modern Family
Jane Krakowski, 30 Rock
Jane Lynch, Glee
Sofia Vergara, Modern Family
Betty White, Hot in Cleveland
Kristen Wiig, Saturday Night Live

While the nominees are all lovely, it's still quite a frustrating category since the top two contenders (Betty White and Jane Lynch) probably deserve the award the least out of all the nominees. From the other four, I can't even pick one I would like to see win over the others. Maybe I'd pick Julie Bowen since her character isn't as flashy as the others (which is the opposite of what the TV Academy would do).

Prediction: Jane Lynch
Alternate: Betty White
Should Win: Julie Bowen

OTHER CATEGORIES
Best Miniseries or Movie: Mildred Pierce
Best Actor, Miniseries: Edgar Ramirez, Carlos
Best Actress, Miniseries: Kate Winslet, Mildred Pierce
Best Supporting Actor, Miniseries: Tom Wilkinson, The Kennedys
Best Supporting Actress, Miniseries: Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
Best Guest Actor, Comedy*: Matt Damon, 30 Rock
Best Guest Actress, Comedy*: Gwyneth Paltrow, Glee
Best Guest Actor, Drama*: Michael J. Fox, The Good Wife
Best Guest Actress, Drama*: Joan Cusack, Shameless

Last year, I think I predicted all of the Comedy categories, but horribly butchered the Drama categories. So we'll see if this stays true this year. It's probably why I'm picking alternates just to cover my bases! Make sure to check out my conversations with Andrew this past week talking about each of the acting categories and a few of the actors' episode submissions (lead / supporting / guest).

*The Guest categories were all given out at the Creative Emmy Awards ceremony last week with Justin Timberlake (Saturday Night Live), Gwyneth Paltrow (Glee), Paul McCrane (Harry's Law), and Loretta Devine (Grey's Anatomy) taking the trophies, which meant I got 1 out of 4.

2 comments:

  1. We never did get around to predicting the top ones. Aaargh. Ah well. Now that I think on it, I have a feeling that Burrell almost definitely win. I'm thinking Colfer definitely or an industry joke and Cryer does. Hopefully I'm wrong, but lord who knows?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Most of that was my fault. My internet has been ridiculously spotty and severely slow the past week. Most of my blog posts were written offline and then were scheduled during the few minutes I'd miraculously have internet access!

    In any case, I think our conversations were great and we did good. So what ARE your thoughts on Best Drama/Comedy? You need to go on record before the big show!

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