It's only two days until the Academy Awards! Are you getting psyched? Are you ready for awards season to just be over already? Well either way, the big day is almost here and so it's time to finally go on record with my predictions. Now, I never claim to be the Oscar Whisperer. I read most of the same articles and hear the same buzz that many film bloggers and Oscar pundits do and even then my prediction rate usually hovers around 60-70%, which is fine, but not great.
For the most part, I'm pretty much going with the consensus picks. It'd be great if there's a surprise or two at the actual ceremony, but seeing as I actually like most of these winners, even if they don't match up with my personal ballot at all, I'd rather not get a surprise that I'd get angry about. With that said, my predictions...
Best Picture: The Artist
Best Director: Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Best Lead Actor: Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Best Lead Actress: Viola Davis, The Help
Best Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Best Supporting Actress: Octavia Spencer, The Help
Best Animated Film: Rango
Best Original Screenplay: Midnight in Paris
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Descendants
Best Foreign Language Film: A Separation
Best Original Score: The Artist
Best Original Song: "Man or Muppet," The Muppets
Best Editing: The Artist
Best Art Direction: Hugo
Best Cinematography: Tree of Life
Best Costume Design: Jane Eyre
Best Makeup: The Iron Lady
Best Documentary: Undefeated
Best Documentary Short: The Tsunami and the Cherry Blossom
Best Animated Short: La Luna
Best Live Action Short: Tuba Atlantic
Best Sound Editing: Hugo
Best Sound Mixing: Hugo
Best Visual Effects: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows II
Tally: 5 - The Artist; 3 - Hugo; 2 - The Help; 1 - Beginners, Rango, Midnight in Paris, The Descendants, A Separation, The Muppets, Tree of Life, Jane Eyre, The Iron Lady, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows II, Undefeated, The Tsunami and the Cherry Blossom, La Luna, Tuba Atlantic
Looks like I'm predicting a "share-the-wealth" kind of year even with The Artist getting five wins. A lot of those tech categories are really difficult to nail down. It was tempting to predict a sweep for The Artist, but for many categories it had steep competition and more often than not I went with that competition. The shorts, as per usual, are rolls of the dice. And yes, for some reason, I'm predicting that Harry Potter will have its first and only Oscar win for its entire series run. Yup, I am crazy.
I'll probably still post my guesses today, but I did see Midnight in Paris, and it was indeed wonderful!
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